Does austerity cause polarization?

Author(s)
Evelyne Hübscher, Thomas Sattler, Markus Wagner
Abstract

In recent decades, governments in many Western democracies have shown a remarkable consensus in pursuing fiscal austerity measures during periods of strained public finances. In this article, we show that these decisions have consequences for political polarization. Our macro-level analysis of 166 elections since 1980 finds that austerity measures increase both electoral abstention and votes for non-mainstream parties, thereby boosting party system polarization. A detailed analysis of selected austerity episodes also shows that new, small and radical parties benefit most from austerity policies. Finally, survey experiments with a total of 8,800 respondents in Germany, Portugal, Spain and the UK indicate that the effects of austerity on polarization are particularly pronounced when the mainstream right and left parties both stand for fiscal restraint. Austerity is a substantial cause of political polarization and hence political instability in industrialized democracies.

Organisation(s)
Department of Government
External organisation(s)
Central European University Vienna, Université de Genève
Journal
British Journal of Political Science
Volume
53
Pages
1170 - 1188
ISSN
0007-1234
Publication date
2022
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
506014 Comparative politics
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 16 - Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
Portal url
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/45b58f05-a88d-4f99-9787-bd56ca557a0e