Electoral Cycles in Government Policy Making: Strategic Timing of Austerity Reform Measures in Western Europe

Author(s)
Daniel Strobl, Mariyana Angelova, Hanna Bäck, Wolfgang Claudius Müller
Abstract

This article investigates whether governing parties strategically time austerity policies to help them win re-election. It contributes to existing research by focusing directly on government policy output, analyzing over 1,200 welfare and taxation austerity measures in thirteen Western European countries over twenty years. In line with previous research, the authors find that governments become less likely to introduce austerity measures as elections approach. The study introduces original hypotheses about which governments have the ability and opportunity to strategically time policy decisions. The authors suggest that minimal winning cabinets with leadership change (new prime ministers) face less complex bargaining environments and can credibly shift responsibility for austerity measures to the preceding government. The empirical analyses show that these governments are most likely to strategically time austerity policies.

Organisation(s)
Department of Government
External organisation(s)
Lund University
Journal
British Journal of Political Science
Volume
51
Pages
331-352
No. of pages
22
ISSN
0007-1234
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123419000073
Publication date
11-2018
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
506014 Comparative politics
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Political Science and International Relations
Portal url
https://ucris.univie.ac.at/portal/en/publications/electoral-cycles-in-government-policy-making-strategic-timing-of-austerity-reform-measures-in-western-europe(6a54685d-00be-4ef4-809f-2f80fefaa485).html